Texas Employment Forecast
The Texas Employment Forecast indicates jobs will increase 1.5 percent in 2025, with an 80 percent confidence band of 1.1 to 1.9 percent.
August 15, 2025
Southwest Economy
Texas economy softens amid uncertain outlook
Texas’ overall pace of economic growth is trending lower, with payroll employment declining in June, a marked turn from robust job gains earlier in 2025.
August 11, 2025
Working Papers
The Fatal Consequences of Brain Drain
This paper examines the welfare consequences of reallocating high-skilled labor across national borders.
August 04, 2025
Texas Employment Forecast
The Texas Employment Forecast indicates jobs will increase 1.7 percent in 2025, with an 80 percent confidence band of 1.3 to 2.1 percent.
July 18, 2025
Dallas Fed Economics
Texas firms open to AI as tariff work-around strategy
Firms are adopting AI and automation to offset rising tariff costs and shrinking margins, aiming to boost productivity and reduce labor needs amid economic challenges.
July 17, 2025
Working Papers
Why Do Households Save and Work?
This paper quantifies why households save and work using a life-cycle model that incorporates wage risk, endogenous labor supply of both spouses, marital transitions, health, medical expenses, mortality and bequest motives at the death of the first and last household member.
July 15, 2025
Speeches and essays
Opening remarks for moderated conversation at the World Affairs Council of San Antonio
Dallas Fed President Logan's base case is that monetary policy needs to hold tight for a while longer to bring inflation sustainably back to target, but she believes it's also quite plausible that some combination of softer inflation and a weakening labor market will call for lower rates fairly soon.
July 15, 2025
Dallas Fed Economics
Declining immigration weighs on GDP growth, with little impact on inflation
In Depth: Unauthorized immigration surged sharply in 2021–24 but has since declined abruptly with negative implications for economic growth.
July 08, 2025
Texas Employment Forecast
The Texas Employment Forecast indicates jobs will increase 2.0 percent in 2025, with an 80 percent confidence band of 1.5 to 2.5 percent.
June 20, 2025
Working Papers
Local Labor Markets and Selection into the Teaching Profession
Using administrative data from Texas, this paper tracks individuals from high school through college to the workforce to determine the effects of local labor markets on occupational choice.
June 03, 2025