Labor

• Working Paper

  How Does Immigration Fit into the Future of the U.S. Labor Market?

  U.S. GDP growth is anticipated to remain sluggish over the next decade, and slow labor force growth is a key underlying reason. Admitting more immigrants is one way U.S. policymakers can bolster growth in the workforce and the economy.

  March 05, 2020

• Working Paper

  The Effect of Immigration on Business Dynamics and Employment

  This paper indicates that immigration increases the business growth rate by boosting business survival and raises employment by reducing job destruction.

  February 28, 2020

• Working Paper

  Who Signs up for E-Verify? Insights from DHS Enrollment Records

  This article uses confidential data from the Department of Homeland Security to examine patterns of employer enrollment in E-Verify.

  January 15, 2020

• Large, dominant firms depress local wages; housing costs help offset lower pay

  Concern has increased about the ability of very large firms to exert market power and hold down wages in localities where they dominate.

  January 07, 2020

• Texas Sees Job, Output Gains from 2018 U.S. Tax Cut

  The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 likely played an important role in Texas’ stronger subsequent job growth relative to the nation.

  December 30, 2019

• Moderate wage growth spurs search for ‘hidden slack’ in labor market

  In recent years, much has been made about the idea of hidden slack—unused labor capacity not captured by the unemployment rate.

  December 17, 2019

• Hours worked by women age 55 to 61 confound labor market analysis

  The seemingly anomalous low LIUR of one particular demographic group poses a challenge for assessing the extent to which the U.S. economy is currently close to full employment.

  November 26, 2019

• What’s up (or not up) with wages?

  This is the third of three articles that talk about the natural rate of unemployment, the unemployment rate that would prevail in a “neutral” labor market after removing all movement due to the business cycle.

  November 12, 2019

• Failed background check, drug testing stall hiring of low-skilled workers

  Many companies seek to add employees as the state economy continues expanding at an above-average pace. But not all can find the workers they need.

  October 17, 2019

• Labor market slack disappeared by 2016

  This is the second of three articles that talk about the natural rate of unemployment, the unemployment rate that would prevail in a “neutral” labor market after removing all movement due to the business cycle.

  October 15, 2019