Dallas Fed Economics Archive
Analysis and insights to enhance your understanding of the economy
August 20, 2019
Mine Yücel and Michael D. Plante
The U.S. shale boom has benefited the nation’s oil trade balance and oil-producing regions and led to unusually large employment and output gains.
August 13, 2019
Christoffer Koch and Jackson Crawford
In June 2019, a concept appeared in the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes that had not shown up in FOMC minutes for 11 years—the idea of monetary policy “insurance.”
August 8, 2019
Laila Assanie and Chloe N. Smith
Sluggish growth in manufacturing is attributable to softening demand for durables, which appears tied to a slowing energy sector.
August 6, 2019
Jim Dolmas
With the Dallas Fed’s Trimmed Mean Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation rate, what you see in real time is closer to what you get after revision than is the case with the more conventional measure of core inflation, PCE excluding food and energy.
July 16, 2019
Michael Morris, Robert Rich and Joseph Tracy
A recent article argued that black workers have received the smallest earnings gains among various groups since the beginning of the Great Recession. Our analysis suggests otherwise.
July 11, 2019
Emily Kerr and Christopher Slijk
Businesses face difficulty both trying to hire in a historically tight labor market and navigating tariffs and trade policy uncertainty.
July 9, 2019
Keith R. Phillips and Judy Teng
The value of the U.S. dollar against other currencies has appreciated, making most goods produced in the U.S. more expensive overseas during the past year.
June 27, 2019
Robert S. Kaplan
One factor being increasingly discussed at the Dallas Fed is the impact of climate change on the Eleventh District, says Dallas Fed President Rob Kaplan. In particular, severe weather events can have a substantial human and economic cost to the district.
June 27, 2019
Stephanie Gullo and Anil Kumar
The region’s moderate expansion continues, despite a weakening outlook. Job gains were solid in May, with most industries and major metros adding to payrolls, and labor markets remaining historically tight.
June 25, 2019
Tyler Atkinson
Economists and consumers likely think of different concepts when they consider inflation. Economists typically focus on the underlying trend that monetary policy can steer. U.S. consumers appear to think instead about unpredictable changes in prices most relevant to their regular decision-making.