Articles providing critical insights and analysis on monetary policy issues impacting the U.S. economy and its deep financial and economic relationship with Mexico.
Strong peso, stubborn inflation cloud Mexico’s 2024 growth prospects
Mexican economic performance is likely to slow in 2024, with stubborn inflation, rising labor costs and a strong peso posing downside risks. Conversely, nearshoring and a larger-than-expected fiscal impact could bolster the Mexican outlook.
May 24, 2024
Swap lines curbed global dollar shortages, appreciation during COVID-19 crisis
During the initial weeks of the COVID-19 crisis, imbalances in the offshore dollar funding market led to safe-haven appreciation of the dollar. Fed swap lines between the U.S. central bank and counterparts abroad addressed these imbalances, subsequently helping reduce the cost of offshore dollar borrowing, reversing dollar appreciation and providing liquidity.
May 21, 2024
Podcast: Lagging productivity gains restrain Mexico’s economic prospects
Dallas Fed economists Sewon Hur and Pia Orrenius discuss how improving productivity could propel Mexico beyond the ranks of middle-income nations.
May 20, 2024
How global oil sanctions lowered Russian oil export prices
The decline in Russian oil export revenue since January 2022 was achieved by reducing the Russian export price rather than the volume of Russian oil exports.
May 14, 2024
Mexico’s productivity woes limit nearshoring, growth potential
Industrial policy reform, nearshoring and a deeper Mexico–U.S. partnership could provide tailwinds for Mexican economic growth. Whether Mexico can harness the full potential of such transformative change is less clear.
April 16, 2024
Speeches by Dallas Fed leadership
Understanding the evolving relationship between the United States and Mexico
Remarks by Roberto Coronado at the Western Hemispheric Trade Center Annual Conference at Texas A&M International University in Laredo.
April 12, 2024
Mexico Economic Update
Mexico’s economy shows early signs of slowing
The Mexican economy is expected to moderate in 2024, following the trend of the U.S. economy. As job growth slows and unemployment ticks up in the U.S., this could affect the flow of remittances, curtailing consumption growth in Mexico.
April 09, 2024
Disparate supply-side forces gave U.S. economy an edge
The U.S. economy boasts robust growth and slowing inflation despite the highest interest rates in two decades. Such performance isn’t common globally, especially among other advanced economies, revealing crucial differences in the fundamental factors driving inflation and growth.
March 26, 2024
Development bank funds border infrastructure to aid U.S.–Mexico trade
Calixto Mateos, former managing director of the North American Development Bank, discusses his work at the NADBank and its role enhancing trade.
March 22, 2024
Research Department Working Papers
Demographic Transition, Industrial Policies and Chinese Economic Growth
This paper builds a unified framework to quantitatively examine how demographic transition and industrial policies have contributed to China’s economic growth in the past five decades.
February 07, 2024