Articles providing critical insights and analysis on monetary policy issues impacting the U.S. economy and its deep financial and economic relationship with Mexico.
Southwest Economy
Ciudad Juarez retools amid job losses
Ciudad Juarez, across the Rio Grande from El Paso, lost nearly one-fifth of its manufacturing jobs over a two-year period. The decline reflects the city’s move into higher value-added, less labor-intensive production of electronics and hardware demanded for the U.S.’s burgeoning data center build-out.
April 08, 2026
Working Paper
The Impact of the 2026 Iran War on U.S. Inflation: A Scenario Analysis
This paper shows how to assess the inflationary impact of the rise in the price of oil caused by the 2026 Iran War.
April 07, 2026
Working Paper
Multinationals and Structural Transformation
Using confidential microdata from Japan and exploiting a quasi-exogenous reform that expanded foreign investment opportunities in China, this paper assesses empirically how this reform affected employment at firms in both the host country (China) and the home country (Japan).
March 30, 2026
Mexico Economic Update
Mexican economy weakens at the start of 2026
Mexico’s monthly proxy for GDP fell 0.9 percent in January after the economy expanded an upwardly revised 1.8 percent in 2025.
March 23, 2026
Dallas Fed Economics
What the closure of the Strait of Hormuz means for the global economy
The ongoing military conflict between Iran and the United States and Israel has raised concerns about a major disruption of global oil supplies driven by geopolitical events. This conflict has involved attacks on oil infrastructure in neighboring countries, including Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates.
March 20, 2026
Special Report
Taiwan firms key to nearshoring and reshoring to support AI boom
While China’s trade and investment with Mexico have attracted significant attention, Taiwan firms’ investment in both Mexico and Texas is arguably more significant for the evolution of U.S.–Mexico production networks.
March 06, 2026
Mexico Economic Update
Mexico's economy rebounds in fourth quarter 2025
Mexico's economy expanded at year-end 2025. GDP grew 1.2 percent year-over-year in the fourth quarter after contracting 0.2 percent in the third quarter.
February 13, 2026
Southwest Economy
Mexican residents favor local retailers over cross-border shopping in Texas
Despite a relatively stable peso-dollar exchange rate that would normally favor shopping in the U.S., Mexican consumers increasingly stay closer to home.
January 16, 2026
Dallas Fed Economics
Real-time house price model shows U.S. housing market firming
House prices matter to more than just individual homebuyers and sellers. They are closely tied to consumer spending, business investment and the broader path of the economy.
January 15, 2026
Dallas Fed Economics
Global Institute presentation: Steve Kamin on the dollar’s status
During a presentation and discussion hosted by the Global Institute last month, Steve Kamin discussed how tariffs, volatility and evolving payment technologies are challenging—but not yet dislodging—the dollar’s position as a reserve currency at the center of the global financial system.
December 31, 2025