Economists

Emily Kerr

Senior Business Economist
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

Emily Kerr is a senior business economist at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.

As a member of the Research Department's regional group, she conducts research on regional economic issues, coordinates the production of and writes the release for the Dallas Fed's Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey and helps produce the Eleventh District Beige Book—the Bank's survey of regional economic conditions. She also produces articles for various bank publications.

Kerr holds a bachelor's degree in economics and an MS in economics from Baylor University.

Curriculum Vitae

Education

Baylor University
MS in economics
BBA in economics

Experience

Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Research Department
Senior Business Economist, 2016 to present
Business Economist, 2014 to 2016
Associate Economist, 2012 to 2014
Assistant Economist, 2010 to 2012
Research Analyst, 2009 to 2010

Dallas Fed Publications

“Texas firms using AI report little impact on employment,” with Jesus Cañas, Dallas Fed Economics, June 25, 2024.
“Texas high tech shakes off post-pandemic slump, readies new growth path,” with Robert Leigh and Luis Torres, Southwest Economy, May 3, 2024.
“Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey: Survey Methodology, Performance and Forecast Accuracy,” with Jesus Cañas, Aparna Jayashankar and Diego Morales-Burnett, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Working Paper no. 2402, March 2024.
“Texas economy moderates toward more normal growth in 2024,” with Ana Pranger, Dallas Fed Economics, February 6, 2024.
“Wage growth still exceeds 3 percent despite slowing in business survey measures,” with Tyler Atkinson, Dallas Fed Economics, August 1, 2023.
“Texas modestly grows with soft landing likely,” with Ana Pranger, Dallas Fed Economics, February 9, 2023.
“Supply Chains Slowly Mend as Texas Firms View Recovery in 2023,” with Christopher Slijk, Southwest Economy, third quarter 2022
“Pace of Texas economic growth slows as supply-chain, staffing woes persist,” with Juliette Coia, Dallas Fed Economics, February 3, 2022.
“Delta surge disrupts Texas firms less than earlier COVID-19 waves, Dallas Fed surveys say,” with Christopher Slijk, Dallas Fed Economics, November 16, 2021.
“Texas economy soft in January, but outlook optimistic for later in 2021,” with Chloe Smith, Dallas Fed Economics, February 4, 2021.
“Insights from Dallas Fed surveys: Uneven economic recovery likely in Texas,” with Christopher Slijk, Dallas Fed Economics, August 11, 2020.
“Texas Economy Building Momentum to Start Year,” with Chloe Smith, Dallas Fed Economics, February 06, 2020.
“Failed Background Check, Drug Testing Stall Hiring of Low-Skilled Workers,” with Wenhua Di and Christopher Slijk, Dallas Fed Economics, October 17, 2019.
“Labor Scarcity, Trade Woes Squeeze Texas Business, Survey Finds,” with Christopher Slijk, Dallas Fed Economics, July 11, 2019.
“Go Figure: What’s Driving Wide Gap Between Cattle and Beef Prices?,”Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Southwest Economy, Second Quarter 2017.
“Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey: Survey Methodology and Performance,” Research Department Working Paper 1416.
“Fed Manufacturing Surveys Provide Insight into National Economy,” Economic Letter, Volume 9, Number 12, October 2014.
“Noteworthy: Agriculture: Texas to Avoid Worst of Projected Farm Income Drop,”Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Southwest Economy, Second Quarter 2014.
“Brutal Drought Depresses Agriculture, Thwarting U.S. and Texas Economies,” Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Southwest Economy, Fourth Quarter 2012.
“Noteworthy: Agriculture: Sector's Share of GDP Smaller in Texas than in U.S.,” Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Southwest Economy, Second Quarter 2012.
“Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: Completing the Regional Economic Picture,” with Jesus Cañas, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Southwest Economy, Second Quarter 2011.
“Texas Economy to Ride Higher in the Saddle in 2011,” with Keith R. Phillips, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Southwest Economy, First Quarter 2011.
“Natural Gas from Shale: Texas Revolution Goes Global,” with Robert W. Gilmer, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Southwest Economy, Third Quarter 2010.
“Noteworthy: Texas Agriculture: Drought's End Brings Optimism,” Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Southwest Economy, Second Quarter 2010.
“Texas' Latino Pay Gaps: Taking a Closer Look,” with Pia Orrenius and Madeline Zavodny, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Southwest Economy, First Quarter 2010.
“Noteworthy: Texas Exports: NAFTA Markets Spur Trade Turnaround,” Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Southwest Economy, First Quarter 2010.
“Spotlight: Farm Real Estate Values: Texas Holds Steady in 2008, Bucking U.S. Trend,” with Keith R. Phillips, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Southwest Economy, Fourth Quarter 2009.
“Noteworthy: Household Income: Texas Posts Gain in Otherwise Tough Year,” Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Southwest Economy, Fourth Quarter 2009.
“Getting to the Bottom of Texas' Latino Pay Gap,” with Pia Orrenius and Madeline Zavodny, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Southwest Economy, Fourth Quarter 2009.
“Noteworthy: Venture Capital: U.S. Rises, but Texas Continues its Decline,” Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Southwest Economy, Third Quarter 2009.

Journal Publications

“Chinese Immigrants in the U.S. Labor Market: Effects of Post-Tiananmen Immigration Policy,” with Pia Orrenius and Madeline Zavodny, International Migration Review, Summer 2012.