Strong U.S. labor market drives record remittances to Mexico
Remittances from the U.S. to Mexico reached a record $55.9 billion in 2022. Strong employment in the U.S. construction sector—a leading employer of Mexican migrants—best explains the recent growth of remittances to Mexico.
October 20, 2023
How long is the soft-landing runway for the labor market?
A normalized labor market likely entails a more-usual relationship between layoffs and labor market tightness indicators, and sooner or later, a higher unemployment rate.
October 19, 2023
Speech by President Lorie K. Logan
Financial conditions and the monetary policy outlook
In a speech to the National Association for Business Economics, Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan said the monetary policy implications of recent rises in long-term interest rates depend on whether the increases result from economic strength or elevated term premiums.
October 09, 2023
Texas Employment Forecast
The Texas Employment Forecast indicates that jobs will increase 2.9 percent in 2023, with an 80 percent confidence band of 2.6 to 3.3 percent.
September 15, 2023
Speech by President Lorie K. Logan
Restoring price stability requires careful calibration
Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan delivered these remarks before the Dallas Business Club at Southern Methodist University.
September 07, 2023
Research Department Working Papers
Marriage and Work Among Prime-Age Men
Married men work more hours than men who have never been married. Fixed effect regressions reveal that part of this gap is attributable to an increase in work around the time of marriage.
August 29, 2023
Texas natives likeliest to ‘stick’ around, pointing to state’s economic health
Based on a calculation measuring the share of people born in each state who still live there, Texas is the nation’s “stickiest” state. The natives aren’t leaving.
August 29, 2023
Texas Employment Forecast
The Texas Employment Forecast indicates that jobs will increase 3.0 percent in 2023, with an 80 percent confidence band of 2.6 to 3.4 percent.
August 18, 2023
Labor market recovery and wage growth unequal across age groups after pandemic
The COVID-19 pandemic severely depressed U.S. labor force participation. Although the pandemic has eased, people ages 20–24 and those over 55 have been less likely to return to the workforce.
August 02, 2023
Wage growth still exceeds 3 percent despite slowing in business survey measures
Fed policymakers working to reduce inflation have closely monitored how fast wages have risen. National estimates put recent 12-month wage inflation at around 4–5 percent, though these measures can lag other indicators of labor market conditions. More timely wage data can be found from the five regional Federal Reserve Banks that run business surveys.
August 01, 2023