Dallas Fed Economics Archive
Analysis and insights to enhance your understanding of the economy
January 9, 2024
Philippe Bacchetta, J. Scott Davis and Eric van Wincoop
U.S. dollars are hard to find in foreign markets during times of heightened risk, as evidenced by two interesting and related features in the post-2007 international financial landscape.
January 2, 2024
Alexander W. Richter and Xiaoqing Zhou
Consumption was not a main driver of GDP declines in previous recessions, and a recession is not necessarily preceded by declines in consumer spending.
December 21, 2023
Diego Morales-Burnett and Luis Torres
Texas economic growth slowed in the fourth quarter, with job growth falling sharply in October and business activity contracting slightly in November.
December 19, 2023
Ron Mau and Fang Yang
The existence of large sums in state and local government coffers runs counter to historic post-recession trends. State and local governments usually grapple with budget shortfalls due to rising social program demands and weak revenue streams following recessions.
November 28, 2023
Dylan Ryfe and Alessio Saretto
Because of their prominence, reciprocal deposits are important in the broader discussion of deposit insurance. Though they have the potential to increase banks’ moral hazard, they also bring increased trust and safety to the banking system.
November 14, 2023
Sewon Hur and Braden Strackman
The Chinese economy has grown at an unprecedented pace since the 1980s. However, the pace of growth is likely to slow as China’s economy matures because of its demographic structure and its increasing proximity to economic and technological frontiers.
November 9, 2023
Jesse Thompson and Ana Pranger
The impact of a still-strong Texas jobs market and moderating business activities and costs suggest that the state’s economy may be headed for a soft landing following Fed policymaker efforts to cool inflationary pressures.
November 7, 2023
Aparna Jayashankar and Anthony Murphy
As consumer prices have climbed at a faster rate in Texas and surrounding states than nationally—food and shelter increasing even more—Texans are feeling especially stressed about rising prices.
October 19, 2023
Tyler Atkinson and Alex Richter
A normalized labor market likely entails a more-usual relationship between layoffs and labor market tightness indicators, and sooner or later, a higher unemployment rate.
October 17, 2023
Garrett Golding
Texas just witnessed its second-hottest summer ever and its highest electricity demand without experiencing interruption to electricity delivery.