Another benefit of trimming: smaller inflation revisions
With the Dallas Fed’s Trimmed Mean Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation rate, what you see in real time is closer to what you get after revision than is the case with the more conventional measure of core inflation, PCE excluding food and energy.
August 06, 2019
Consumers’ and economists’ differing inflation views can complicate policymaking
Economists and consumers likely think of different concepts when they consider inflation. Economists typically focus on the underlying trend that monetary policy can steer. U.S. consumers appear to think instead about unpredictable changes in prices most relevant to their regular decision-making.
June 25, 2019
Room to grow? Inflation and labor market slack
Compared with the usual ex-food-and-energy measure, the Dallas Fed’s Trimmed Mean PCE inflation rate sends a clearer, more reliable signal about whether cyclical inflation pressures are building.
May 30, 2019
Which core to believe? Trimmed mean versus ex-food-and-energy inflation
Twice since 2014, core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) inflation—inflation excluding food and energy—decelerated sharply, only to ultimately reverse course.
May 28, 2019
Global Perspectives: Janet Yellen on becoming an economist, being Fed chair and views on Fed independence
Janet Yellen holds a unique place in Federal Reserve history. It all began with a year as a humble Fed staff economist in 1977.
April 18, 2019