Research Department Working Papers
Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey: Survey Methodology, Performance and Forecast Accuracy
This paper describes the survey methodology and analyzes the explanatory and predictive power of TMOS indexes with regard to other measures of state economic activity.
March 28, 2024
Improved business outlooks, faster job growth boost Texas outlook
A majority of Texas Business Outlook Surveys participants expect increasing demand over the next six months, signaling an improving business outlook, even as inflation and wage growth in Texas remain elevated.
March 28, 2024
Surveys
Outlook improves even as oil and gas activity little changed; breakeven prices increase
Activity in the oil and gas sector was relatively unchanged in the first quarter of 2024, according to oil and gas executives responding to the Dallas Fed Energy Survey.
March 27, 2024
Texas Economy
Modest growth continues in Texas service sector
Texas service sector activity expanded in February after contracting in January, according to business executives responding to the Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey.
March 26, 2024
Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey
Texas factory activity weakened in March after stabilizing in February, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey.
March 25, 2024
Agricultural Survey
Bankers responding to the first-quarter survey reported persistent weak conditions across most regions of the Eleventh District.
March 25, 2024
Texas Economy
Growth resumes in Texas service sector activity, company outlook improves
Texas service sector activity expanded in February after contracting in January, according to business executives responding to the Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey.
February 27, 2024
Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey
Texas factory activity stabilized in February after contracting in January, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey.
February 26, 2024
Surveys
Banking Conditions Survey
Loan volumes remained stable, with near-equal shares of bankers reporting an increase over the past six weeks as those reporting a decrease.
February 20, 2024
Texas economy moderates toward more normal growth in 2024
Texas economic growth remains healthy while gradually reverting to a more historically normal pace of expansion following the pandemic when a bust in the first half of 2020 preceded a subsequent boom.
February 06, 2024