Research Department Working Papers
State-Dependent Local Projections
Do state-dependent local projections asymptotically recover the population responses of macroeconomic aggregates to structural shocks? The answer to this question depends on how the state of the economy is determined and on the magnitude of the shocks.
April 19, 2023
Interest rate volatility contributed to higher mortgage rates in 2022
The Federal Reserve aggressively tightened monetary policy in 2022, responding to high and persistent inflation. The resulting borrowing cost increase for households and firms was generally anticipated. However, fixed-rate mortgage interest rates were especially sensitive to the policy regime change.
April 04, 2023
Calibrating central bank inflation messages is key to policy success
A well-crafted message about the current and future state of the economy can influence the private sector’s expectations and guide behavior to ensure that the economy remains strong and prices stable even amid threatening supply-and-demand shocks.
March 28, 2023
Speech by President Lorie K. Logan
Preventing and responding to dysfunction in core markets
Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan delivered these remarks at the Workshop on Market Dysfunction at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business.
March 03, 2023
Threat of global housing slide looms amid rising rates
While house-price growth has recently begun to moderate—or, in some countries, to decline—the risk of a deep global housing slide persists.
February 28, 2023
Dallas Fed, Latin American central banks explore financial stability risks
The COVID-19 pandemic, recent monetary tightening and a strengthening U.S. dollar were the themes explored during a recent conference organized by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas and the Center for Latin American Monetary Studies (CEMLA) and held at CEMLA’s Mexico City headquarters.
February 16, 2023
Research Department Working Papers
Financial Technology and the Transmission of Monetary Policy: The Role of Social Networks
This paper establishes that social networks play a key role in consumers’ adoption of FinTech lending, which amplifies the effects of a monetary stimulus.
February 14, 2023
Speech by President Lorie K. Logan
Restoring price stability
Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan delivered this address at Prairie View A&M University.
February 14, 2023
Job vacancy, unemployment relationship clouds ‘soft landing’ prospects
Some economists have argued that because the job vacancy rate has been well above its prepandemic level, there is plenty of room for vacancies to fall before the unemployment rate must rise.
February 07, 2023
Speech by President Lorie K. Logan
The U.S. economic outlook and monetary policy
Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan delivered this address on Jan. 18, 2023, at The University of Texas at Austin McCombs School of Business as part of her 360° in 365 Listening Tour of the Eleventh Federal Reserve District.
January 18, 2023