Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey
Texas factory activity continued to expand in September, albeit at a slower pace, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey.
September 29, 2025
Research Department Working Papers
Subcontracting in Federal Spending: Micro and Macro Implications
This paper studies the critical but underexplored role of subcontracting in shaping the spatial and firm-level effects of federal government spending.
September 22, 2025
Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey
Texas factory activity continued to expand in August, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey.
August 25, 2025
Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey
Texas factory activity picked up notably in July, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey.
July 28, 2025
Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey
Texas factory activity was largely unchanged in June, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey.
June 30, 2025
Advances in AI will boost productivity, living standards over time
Artificial intelligence offers the potential to improve people’s living standards. Such advances can be approximated by changes in GDP per capita over time. Using that common measure, AI could enhance longstanding productivity gains or, alternatively, drastically alter the economy in relatively short order.
June 24, 2025
Will AI replace your job? Perhaps not in the next decade
Recent rapid improvements in the capabilities of artificial intelligence have raised concerns about these technologies' impact on employment. The ultimate effects of AI on the workforce will depend on the extent to which AI augments (or complements) rather than automates (or substitutes for) workers' tasks. Will this new technology aid workers or replace them?
June 03, 2025
Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey
Texas factory activity held steady in May, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey.
May 27, 2025
U.S. tariff outcomes dependent on trading partner responses
In Depth: U.S. tariff policy has historically shifted among competing goals: providing revenue, protecting domestic markets and opening foreign markets to domestic producers. These goals are unlikely to be achieved simultaneously.
May 13, 2025
Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey
Texas factory activity continued to rise in April. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, was largely unchanged. Other measures of manufacturing activity signaled contraction, however.
April 28, 2025