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Research

Discover latest Dallas Fed Research on key issues affecting the economy and monetary policy. Find economic data on Eleventh District performance and selected topics.

Southwest Economy

Texas Economy Shifting into Second Gear in 2017

Amid an energy sector recovery in the second half of 2016, the Texas economy is positioned to return to its long-term pace of growth this year. However, a significant change in oil prices or further weaknesses in manufacturing remain risks to the outlook.

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In Focus
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Dallas Fed Surveys

The Dallas Fed conducts recurring surveys of over 900 business executives in manufacturing, services, energy, and ag lending across Texas and the broader Eleventh Federal Reserve District.

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Economic Letter

Provides timely commentary on the important trends and policy issues shaping our rapidly globalizing, increasingly interconnected economy.

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Trimmed Mean PCE Inflation Rate

The Trimmed Mean PCE inflation rate is an alternative measure of core inflation in the price index for personal consumption expenditures (PCE).

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Southwest Economy

A quarterly publication featuring in-depth articles and interviews about Texas and the surrounding region, as well as Mexico.

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Economic Updates

Dallas Fed economists provide updates on economic conditions in the region, nation and world

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Economic Indicators

Economic indicators offers a snapshot of the economy in various Texas metros.

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Working Papers

Working papers from the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas are preliminary drafts circulated for professional comment.

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Research by Topic

Research organized by topic

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Highlights

Southwest Economy

Dallas Booms Through Texas Oil Bust

The Dallas metropolitan division’s economy, buttressed by business relocations and consolidations, has expanded steadily since 2010, following the Great Recession.

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Working Papers

New Findings on the Fiscal Impact of Immigration in the United States

This paper examines a 2016 National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine report on the economic and fiscal effects of immigration that included the first set of comprehensive fiscal impacts published in 20 years.

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Texas Economy

Texas Employment Forecast

The Dallas Fed's Texas employment forecast projects job growth for the calendar year.

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Global Economy

International House Price Database

The international house price database comprises quarterly house price and personal disposable income (PDI) series for a number of countries.

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Other News
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Economic Letter

Navigating by the Stars: The Natural Rate as Economic Forecasting Tool

Fed policymakers must assess the stance of monetary policy each time they decide whether the target federal funds rate should be changed.

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Economic Letter

Is the Next Recession Around the Corner? Probably Not

A “profits recession” often predicts a real recession. A view of recessions as gluts of competition explains why this time a real recession is not imminent.

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Special Report

At the Heart of Texas

This special report is a comprehensive look at the industry clusters, history and demographics shaping eight of Texas' key metropolitan areas.

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